Question
S5 A bag contains twenty counters ,numbered 1.2、 A counter is selected at random from the bag its number IS noted , and it is then returned to the ba (i)If this operation is carried out 100 times find, 2 significant figures , the probability that the num selected at least A times. (ii)If the operation is carried out 3 times find th probability that the largest number drawn is n . W 1leqslant nleqslant 20 . Find the expected value of n to 3 sig figures.
Answer
4.1
(384 Votes)
Bridget
Veteran · Tutor for 11 years
Answer
(i) The probability that the number is selected at least 4 times in 100 trials is approximately
(to 2 significant figures).(ii) The expected value of the largest number drawn in 3 trials is approximately
(to 3 significant figures).
Explanation
## Step 1: Identify the total number of counters and the probability of selecting any one counter.There are 20 counters, each numbered from 1 to 20. The probability of selecting any one counter is:
## Step 2: Calculate the probability of selecting a counter at least 4 times in 100 trials.We use the binomial distribution formula \(P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}\), where
is the number of trials,
is the number of successes, and
is the probability of success in a single trial.Here,
,
, and
.The probability of selecting a counter at least 4 times is:
Calculate each term:
Sum these probabilities and subtract from 1 to get \(P(X \geq 4)\).## Step 3: Calculate the probability of the largest number drawn being
in 3 trials.The probability of the largest number drawn being
is given by:
For
trials, the probability that all numbers are
is:
And for
:
Thus:
## Step 4: Calculate the expected value of
.The expected value \(E(n)\) is given by:
Substitute the probabilities calculated in Step 3 and sum over all
from 1 to 20.#