Question
55. Rainy days Imagine that we randomly select a day from the past 10 years. Let x be the recorded rainfall on this date at the airport in Orlando Florida, and Y be the recorded rainfall on this date at Disney World just outside Orlando. Suppose that you know the means mu _(X) and mu _(Y) and the variances sigma _(X)^2 and sigma _(Y)^2 of both variables. a. Can we calculate the mean of the to]al rainfall X+Y to be mu _(X)+mu _(Y) ? Explain your answer. b. Can we calculate the variance of the total rainfall to be sigma _(X)^2+sigma _(Y)^2 ? Explain your answer.
Answer
4.1
(229 Votes)
Elodie
Veteran · Tutor for 12 years
Answer
a. Yes, the mean of the total rainfall
can be calculated to be
.b. No, you cannot calculate the variance of the total rainfall to be
unless
and
are independent.
Explanation
a. The mean of the total rainfall
:The mean of the sum of two random variables, in this case, the recorded rainfalls
and
, can be calculated by summing the means of the individual variables. This is because the expected value operator (which calculates means) is linear. Therefore, if you know the means
and
of
and
respectively, the mean of
is indeed
.b. The variance of the total rainfall
:The variance of the sum of two random variables is not simply the sum of their individual variances unless the variables are independent of each other. The variance of the sum is given by:
where
and
are the variances of
and
, and \(Cov(X,Y)\) is the covariance of
and
. If
and
are independent, then \(Cov(X,Y) = 0\), and the variance of the sum is indeed the sum of the variances. However, if
and
are not independent (as might be the case with rainfall at two nearby locations), you cannot simply add the variances to get the variance of the total rainfall.